2009/09/01
Fundamental analysis, trends that may occur in the future with the aim to predict the macro and micro economic theory is used on the market. TRADE
BALANCE
Trade balance, imports and exports of a country have made is the difference between. A positive trade balance, imports more than exports in the case is seen to be. A negative trade balance of the imported goods to be exported nor more than is seen in the case. The changes in the trade balance and import and export trends for forex piyasalarıdaki because they are very important indicators, forex market, closely followed by. Data on imports and exports in terms of overall economic activity and competitiveness of the country's only significant trends göstergelerdir.İhracattaki show not only about the strength of economic activity abroad also gives important information. Import-related data while the power is an indicator of domestic economic activity. Has a significant trade deficit, a country, usually due to profit from sales will have a weak currency. However, this strong and long-term financial investments could be balanced by currents.
CURRENT ACCOUNT
Current Account; constitutes the most important part of international trade data. Purchased goods and services, sales, interest payments and unilateral transfers contains information about the most extensive. Balance Current Account in this are discussed. Generally, the current account deficits that cause currency depreciation.
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI)
Consumer Price Index (CPI), purchased by consumers within a predetermined basket of goods and services is the average price. CPI inflation is calculated on a monthly basis for about a very important indicator is followed closely. CPI is the most important indicator because consumer spending enflayon two-thirds of economic activity constituted a portion. High CPI data in the short term interest rates generally rise and this reason that in the short term it will cause the currency strengthen. However, long-term inflation data, it reduces confidence in the currency depreciation causes.
DURABLE GOODS ORDERS and CONSUMPTION
Durable Goods Orders, now and for the future of national producers who placed orders for durable goods is an important indicator. Monthly percentage changes in this order shows the percentage changes. Durable Goods Orders, most industrial production is done on the orders of the trends for the manufacturing sector is the most important indicators. Rising orders and stronger economic activity means that the currency appreciation to help in the short term that may cause short-term interest rates to increase.
GAYRİSAYFİ NATIONAL PRODUCT (GMÜ)
Gross National Product, is available about the total economic activity is the most comprehensive data. All goods and services produced in a country is an indicator of market value. Gross national product data every three months, and describes the most important indicators of economic activity in terms of power that will be closely monitored for. Gross national product is described as three-fold: 1) estimate reported (first), 2) preliminary report (first revision), 3) the last report (the second and final revision). These corrections usually creates a major impact on the market. A high-level gross national product data is usually an increase in interest rates brings the expectation that the simultaneous increase in inflation estimates to the currency as it reduces the confidence with condition, at least for the near future for that currency is a positive impact. GMÜ data externally, in terms of total GMÜ each component within the measurement of price changes used in the price index data also describes GMÜ. GMÜ price index, CPI data are used in conjunction with another key inflation measure is the data. Unlike the CPI price index GMÜ a particular basket of goods and services have the advantage not to be limited. Changes or new features and gidişhatındaki consumption of goods and services to market entry in these price indices will find a place for themselves.
HOUSING START
and Housing Start data, the session started on monthly basis for the construction of the unit (single ailelik or very ailelik) is a metric. As a marker for the overall economy about gidişhat are monitored very closely. High construction activity is usually associated with high economic activity and confidence. This, at least for the near future, strengthening the currency as a precursor of short-term interest rate increase is perceived.
EMPLOYMENT DATA
Other economic indicators in the employment data as the phrase is most important. Usually the first Friday of every month is open. Involves all sectors in the economy, economy, provides a comprehensive overview. Different industry categories separately to keep track of trends in job creation is better handled in bulk, because the data underlying industry trends can hide significant deviations. Employment data, excluding agriculture and public enterprises are paid, how many people is that criteria. This paid monthly changes in the number of how many jobs created or lost WAS in terms of observance is an indicator of economic activity and is a very important indicator is very closely monitored. Large increases in employment data, with strong economic activity is interpreted as an indicator of and eventually, at least supportive for the currency in the short term it will show an effect of the interest rate increase may lead.
PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (PPI)
Producer price index is a measure of monthly change in wholesale prices and raw material, industry and the production phase is divided into. PPI data, a measure of the change in producer prices because inflation is an important indicator of the manufacturer is under a lot about the consumer price index inflation mostly affects. Typically in high-value PPI therefore a higher consumer price inflation and this will result in an increase in short-term interest rates can cause. A significant currency, as inflation pressures that have a negative impact on the trust, although usually short-term, high interest rates that impact has been supportive for the currency.
